Dr Rafael de Andrade Moral

    Mathematics and Statistics, Hamilton Institute

    Lecturer
    Assistant Professor

    Logic House
    133
    (01) 708 6645

    Biography

    2023 - present: Associate Professor of Statistics, Maynooth University
    2018 - 2023: Lecturer/Assistant Professor of Statistics, Maynooth University
    2014 - 2017: PhD in Statistics, University of São Paulo
    2012 - 2014: MSc in Statistics, University of São Paulo
    2007 - 2011: BSc and BEd in Biology, University of São Paulo

    Research
    - Statistical modelling applied to Ecology, Wildlife Management, and Agriculture
    - Computational implementation of statistical models
    - Bayesian modelling

    My personal webpage
    https://rafamoral.github.io

    Theoretical and Statistical Ecology Research Group (Founder and Director)
    https://rafamoral.github.io/tse/

    Research Interests

    My research interests include the development and application of statistical modelling techniques to Ecology, Wildlife Management, and Agriculture. I am also interested in the computational implementation of statistical models, especially as R code.

    I am currently working on the development of computational and statistical tools to jointly model multivariate responses in ecological studies, in particular those involving the collection of abundance measurements.

    Research Projects

    Title Role Description Start date End date Amount
    STRIVE: Achieving Sustainable agri-ecosystems ThRough advances In modelling and Visualising the biodiversity and Ecosystem multifunctionality relationship Team Member PI: Prof Caroline Brophy, Trinity College Dublin.
    Picsel: A New Platform to Protect Rural Farmers against Weathering Weather via Crop Insurance: from Insurance Quotes to Claims Management Co-PI PI: Dr. Rennan Andres Paloschi and Dr Daniel Lima Miquelutti. Funding of 1.2 million BRL, in collaboration with AgriRisk. 01/02/2022 31/01/2024 200000
    ISA Short Course Funding Leader of the Organising Committee I led the organisation of the 3rd Young-ISA Meeting in October 2022. 07/10/2022 07/10/2022 2500
    Teaching Statistics through Music PI SPARK Initiative project from MU Teaching & Learning 01/01/2021 01/05/2021 1000
    NIBIO collaboration (2021) PI 01/01/2021 31/12/2021 6521
    Blake McGrane Corrigan IRC GOIPG- Statistical modelling applied to the spatio-temporal dynamics of the Heliothine moth PI Co-supervisor: Prof Oliver Mason (Dept of Maths and Stats) Blake McGrane Corrigan IRC GOIPG Scholarship 2020 01/10/2020 30/09/2024 109124.7
    Computational tools for medium-term impact and recovery forecasting from COVID-19 Co-PI SFI COVID-19 Rapid Response Call 03/06/2020 02/12/2020 70000
    Spatio-temporal dynamics of Lepidoptera communities and their parasitoids at landscape under restoration process Team Member PI: Prof Carolina Reigada, Federal University of São Carlos, Brazil. Funding: 194,922.38 BRL 01/06/2020 31/05/2022 33000
    Statistical Consultancy: Connolly's Red Mills PI Provided statistical consultancy to Connolly's Red Mills in two instances, analysing horse forage data in Ireland, the UK and France (May-June/2020), and analysing parity data of mares based on different diets (October-November/2020). 01/05/2020 01/11/2020 2774
    ISA Short Course Funding Leader of Organising Committee I led the organisation of the Inaugural Young-ISA meeting at the Glenroyal Hotel, Maynooth, in October 2019. 04/10/2019 04/10/2019 2500
    Travel Grant for IBC 2018 Awardee I was awarded 3000 USD to attend the International Biometric Conference in Barcelona in 2018. 08/07/2018 13/07/2018 2600
    Associate Scientist with NIBIO PI 01/01/2020 31/12/2020 6187
    Statistical Consultancy - Jomakol PI This consultancy work involves statistical analysis of the data collected during the risk assessment experiments conducted by the Client (Jomakol Serviços e Representação Ltda., Brazil), and presentation of the results under the format of a Report. This is done so that the Client may seek commercial release of their bioproducts with the Brazilian National Biosafety Committee. The service will be carried out by Dr. Rafael de Andrade Moral (Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics, Maynooth Unversity). 10/10/2018 26/11/2018 3944
    Early Warning Models for Detecting Re-emergence of BVD PI Co-PI: Prof Andrew Parnell 01/02/2023 31/01/2025 148770.62
    NIBIO collaboration (2022) PI Collaboration with NIBIO researchers on the design and analysis of experiments, grant preparation and delivery of short courses. The award amounts to 65,000 NOK. 01/01/2022 31/12/2022 6499
    Associate Scientist at NIBIO (2022) PI 01/01/2022 31/12/2022 6499

    Book Chapter

    Year Publication
    2014 Demétrio CGB, Hinde J, Moral RA (2014) 'Models for Overdispersed Data in Entomology' In: Ecological Modelling Applied to Entomology. Cham : Springer. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-06877-0_9

    Peer Reviewed Journal

    Year Publication
    2022 José Bon V.; de Andrade Moral R.; Reigada C. (2022) 'Influence of intra- and inter-specific competition between egg parasitoids on the effectiveness of biological control of Euschistus heros (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae)'. Biological Control, 170 . [DOI]
    2022 De Andrade Moral R.; Díaz-Orueta U.; Oltra-Cucarella J. (2022) 'Logistic Versus Linear Regression-Based Reliable Change Index: A Simulation Study With Implications for Clinical Studies With Different Sample Sizes'. Psychological Assessment, . [DOI]
    2022 Silva DM; de Souza VHM; Moral RA; Delalibera Júnior I; Mascarin GM; (2022) 'Production of Purpureocillium lilacinum and Pochonia chlamydosporia by Submerged Liquid Fermentation and Bioactivity against Tetranychus urticae and Heterodera glycines through Seed Inoculation'. Journal Of Fungi, 8 (5). [DOI]
    2021 Cucak M; Moral RA; Fealy R; Lambkin K; Kildea S; (2021) 'Opportunities for an improved potato late blight management in the Republic of Ireland: Field evaluation of the modified Irish Rules crop disease risk prediction model'. Phytopathology, . [DOI]
    2021 Kruszynski C.; De Andrade Moral R.; Míllan C.; Diniz-Reis T.R.; Mello M.A.R.; De Camargo P.B. (2021) 'Diet Composition of Bats in a Human-Modified Tropical Landscape'. Acta Chiropterologica, 23 (2):395-404. [DOI]
    2021 Haslett J.; Parnell A.C.; Hinde J.; de Andrade Moral R. (2021) 'Modelling Excess Zeros in Count Data: A New Perspective on Modelling Approaches'. International Statistical Review, . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2021 Mainguy J.; Moral R.d.A. (2021) 'An Improved Method for the Estimation and Comparison of Mortality Rates in Fish from Catch-Curve Data'. North American Journal of Fisheries Management, . [DOI]
    2021 Parra J.R.P.; Coelho A.; Cuervo-Rugno J.B.; Garcia A.G.; de Andrade Moral R.; Specht A.; Neto D.D. (2021) 'Important pest species of the Spodoptera complex: Biology, thermal requirements and ecological zoning'. Journal of Pest Science, . [DOI]
    2021 Duarte M.M.; Moral R.d.A.; Guillemot J.; Zuim C.I.F.; Potvin C.; Bonat W.H.; Stape J.L.; Brancalion P.H.S. (2021) 'High tree diversity enhances light interception in tropical forests'. Journal of Ecology, . [DOI]
    2021 Oliveira T.d.P.; Moral R.d.A. (2021) 'Global short-term forecasting of COVID-19 cases'. Scientific Reports, 11 (1). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2021 Prado E.B.; Moral R.A.; Parnell A.C. (2021) 'Bayesian additive regression trees with model trees'. Statistics and Computing, 31 (3). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2021 Rowan NJ; Moral RA; (2021) 'Disposable face masks and reusable face coverings as non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to prevent transmission of SARS-CoV-2 variants that cause coronavirus disease (COVID-19): Role of new sustainable NPI design innovations and predictive mathematical modelling'. Science of the Total Environment, 772 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2020 Pollard C.; Griffin C.; Andrade Moral R.; Duffy C.; Chuche J.; Gaffney M.; Fealy R. (2020) 'phenModel: A temperature-dependent phenology/voltinism model for a herbivorous insect incorporating facultative diapause and budburst'. Ecological Modelling, 416 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2020 Prado, Estevao and O’Neill, Eoghan and Hernandez, Belinda and Parnell, Andrew C. and Moral, Rafael A (2020) 'Discussion of: Bayesian Regression Tree Models for Causal Inference: Regularization, Confounding, and Heterogeneous Effects'. 15 :1029-1031. [Full-Text]
    2020 Oliveira, TP; Moral, RA; Zocchi, SS; Demetrio, CGB; Hinde, J (2020) 'lcc: an R package to estimate the concordance correlation, Pearson correlation and accuracy over time'. PeerJ, 8 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2020 Verdade L.M.; Moral R.A.; Calaboni A.; do Amaral M.V.S.G.; Martin P.S.; Amorim L.S.; Gheler-Costa C.; Piña C.I. (2020) 'Temporal dynamics of small mammals in Eucalyptus plantations in Southeast Brazil'. Global Ecology And Conservation, 24 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2020 Hollingsworth R.G.; Aristizábal L.F.; Shriner S.; Mascarin G.M.; Moral R.d.A.; Arthurs S.P. (2020) 'Incorporating Beauveria bassiana Into an Integrated Pest Management Plan for Coffee Berry Borer in Hawaii'. Frontiers In Sustainable Food Systems, 4 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2020 Lara I.A.R.; Moral R.A.; Taconeli C.A.; Reigada C.; Hinde J. (2020) 'A generalized transition model for grouped longitudinal categorical data'. Biometrical Journal, . [DOI]
    2020 de Lara I.A.R.; Taconeli C.A.; Moral R.d.A.; Hinde J.; Voigt V.; de Freitas S.M. (2020) 'A longitudinal study of sweet orange flowering with grouped count data'. Acta Scientiarum - Agronomy, 42 :1-10. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2019 Canassa F.; Tall S.; Moral R.; Lara I.; Delalibera I.; Meyling N. (2019) 'Effects of bean seed treatment by the entomopathogenic fungi Metarhizium robertsii and Beauveria bassiana on plant growth, spider mite populations and behavior of predatory mites'. Biological Control, 132 :199-208. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2019 Cucak M.; Sparks A.; De Andrade Moral R.; Kildea S.; Lambkin K.; Fealy R. (2019) 'Evaluation of the'Irish rules': The potato late blight forecasting model and its operational use in the Republic of Ireland'. Journal of Agronomy, 9 (9). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2019 Cucak, M., Sparks, A., de Andrade Moral, R., Kildea, S., Lambkin, K. and Fealy, R. (2019) 'Evaluation of Irish Rules, the Potato Late Blight Forecasting Model and its Operational use in Republic of Ireland'. Agronomy, 9 (515):1-24. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy9090515 [Full-Text]
    2019 Moral R.; Hinde J.; Ortega E.; Demétrio C.; Godoy W. (2019) 'Location-scale mixed models and goodness-of-fit assessment applied to insect ecology'. Journal of Applied Statistics, . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2019 Moral R.; Hinde J.; Demétrio C. (2019) 'Bivariate Residual Plots With Simulation Polygons'. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, . [DOI]
    2019 Canassa F.; Esteca F.; Moral R.; Meyling N.; Klingen I.; Delalibera I. (2019) 'Root inoculation of strawberry with the entomopathogenic fungi Metarhizium robertsii and Beauveria bassiana reduces incidence of the twospotted spider mite and selected insect pests and plant diseases in the field'. Journal of Pest Science, . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2019 Rabêlo F.; de Andrade Moral R.; Lavres J. (2019) 'Integrating Biochemical, Morpho-physiological, Nutritional, and Productive Responses to Cd Accumulation in Massai Grass Employed in Phytoremediation'. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, 230 (5). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2019 Iwanicki NSA; Pereira AA; Botelho ABRZ; Rezende JM; Moral RA; Zucchi MI; Delalibera Júnior I; (2019) 'Monitoring of the field application of Metarhizium anisopliae in Brazil revealed high molecular diversity of Metarhizium spp in insects, soil and sugarcane roots'. Scientific Reports, 9 (1). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2018 Tomaseto, AF; Miranda, MP; Moral, RA; de Lara, IAR; Fereres, A; Lopes, JRS (2018) 'Environmental conditions for Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) take-off'. Journal of Applied Entomology, 142 :104-113. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2018 Castro T.; Moral R.; Demétrio C.; Delalibera I.; Klingen I. (2018) 'Prediction of sporulation and germination by the spider mite pathogenic fungus neozygites floridana (Neozygitomycetes: Neozygitales: Neozygitaceae) based on temperature, humidity and time'. Insects, 9 (2). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2018 Fatoretto M.; Moral R.; Demétrio C.; de Pádua C.; Menarin V.; Rojas V.; D'Alessandro C.; Delalibera I. (2018) 'Overdispersed fungus germination data: statistical analysis using R'. Biocontrol Science and Technology, . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2018 Moral, RA; Hinde, J; Demetrio, CGB; Reigada, C; Godoy, WAC (2018) 'Models for Jointly Estimating Abundances of Two Unmarked Site-Associated Species Subject to Imperfect Detection'. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 23 :20-38. [DOI]
    2017 Moral, RA; Hinde, J; Demetrio, CGB (2017) 'Half-Normal Plots and Overdispersed Models in R: The hnp Package'. Journal of Statistical Software, 81 :1-23. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2017 Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB; Hinde, J; Godoy, WAC; Fernandes, FS (2017) 'Parasitism-mediated prey selectivity in laboratory conditions and implications for biological control'. Basic and Applied Ecology, 19 :67-75. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Conceschi, MR; D'Alessandro, CP; Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB; Delalibera, I (2016) 'Transmission potential of the entomopathogenic fungi Isaria fumosorosea and Beauveria bassiana from sporulated cadavers of Diaphorina citri and Toxoptera citricida to uninfected D-citri adults'. BioControl, 61 :567-577. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Alexandrino, ER; Buechley, ER; Piratelli, AJ; Ferraz, KMPMD; Moral, RD; Sekercioglu, CH; Silva, WR; do Couto, HTZ (2016) 'Bird sensitivity to disturbance as an indicator of forest patch conditions: An issue in environmental assessments'. Ecological Indicators, 66 :369-381. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Mascarin, GM; Guarin-Molina, JH; Arthurs, SP; Humber, RA; Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB; Delalibera, I (2016) 'Seasonal prevalence of the insect pathogenic fungus Colletotrichum nymphaeae in Brazilian citrus groves under different chemical pesticide regimes'. Fungal Ecology, 22 :43-51. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2015 Conagin, A., Barbin, D., Demétrio, C.G.B., Moral, R.A. (2015) 'Analysing (1/125) 5^5 fractional factorial designs and some considerations'. Biometric Brazilian Journal/Revista Brasileira De Biometria, .
    2013 Moretti, TC; Coutinho, RM; Moral, RA; Ferreira, CP; Godoy, WAC (2013) 'Quantitative and qualitative dynamics of exotic and native blowflies ( Diptera: Calliphoridae) with migrations among municipalities'. Community Ecology, 14 :249-257. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2013 Ribeiro, LD; Vendramim, JD; Bicalho, KU; Andrade, MD; Fernandes, JB; Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB (2013) 'Annona mucosa Jacq. (Annonaceae): A promising source of bioactive compounds against Sitophilus zeamais Mots. (Coleoptera: Curculionidae)'. JOURNAL OF STORED PRODUCTS RESEARCH, 55 :6-14. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2018 Reigada, C; Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB; Parra, JRP (2018) 'Cross-crop effects on larval growth, survivorship and fecundity of Helicoverpa armigera'. Journal of Pest Science, 91 :121-131. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2018 Coelho A; Milanez JM; de Andrade Moral R; Demétrio CGB; Parra JRP; (2018) 'Selection of an Artificial Diet for Laboratory Rearing of Opogona sacchari (Lepidoptera: Tineidae) (Bojer, 1856)'. Neotropical Entomology, 47 (2). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2018 Alves, GR; Beloti, VH; Faggioni-Floriano, KM; de Carvalho, SA; Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB; Parra, JPRP; Yamamoto, PT (2018) 'Does the scion or rootstock of Citrus sp affect the feeding and biology of Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae)?'. Arthropod-Plant Interactions, 12 :77-84. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2017 Otto, MSG; Francisco, JG; Gonsalez, BT; Calvo, LD; de Mattos, EM; de Almeida, M; Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB; Stape, JL; de Oliveira, RF (2017) 'Changes in gamma-aminobutyric acid concentration, gas exchange, and leaf anatomy in Eucalyptus clones under drought stress and rewatering'. Acta Physiologiae Plantarum, 39 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2017 Beloti VH; Alves GR; Moral RA; Demétrio CGB; Yamamoto PT; (2017) 'Acute Toxicity of Fresh and Aged Residues of Pesticides to the Parasitoid Tamarixia radiata and to the HLB-Bacteria Vector Diaphorina citri'. Neotropical Entomology, . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2017 Battel, APMB; Moral, RD; Rodrigues, CA; Araujo, MD; Godoy, WAC (2017) 'Reproductive potential of Chrysoperla externa maintained in different cage sizes in laboratory conditions'. Ciencia Rural, 47 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Galindo LA; Moral RA; Moretti TC; Godoy WA; Demétrio CG; (2016) 'Intraguild predation influences oviposition behavior of blow flies (Diptera: Calliphoridae)'. Parasitology Research, 115 (5). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Castro T; Roggia S; Wekesa VW; de Andrade Moral R; Gb Demétrio C; Delalibera I; Klingen I; (2016) 'The effect of synthetic pesticides and sulfur used in conventional and organically grown strawberry and soybean on Neozygites floridana, a natural enemy of spider mites'. Pest Management Science, 72 (9). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Mascarin GM; Guarín-Molina JH; Arthurs SP; Humber RA; de Andrade Moral R; Demétrio CG; Delalibera Í; (2016) 'Data on morphological features of mycosis induced by Colletotrichum nymphaeae and Lecanicillium longisporum on citrus orthezia scale'. Data In Brief, 8 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Piai DB, Barbeiro A, Yonezawa GN, Quagliato Jr R, Claro Neto S, Chierice GO, Moral RA, Demétrio CGB (2016) 'Phosphoethanolamine and omega-3 in patients with asthma'. International Journal of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, 9 :18543-18548. [Full-Text]
    2016 Castro, T; Mayerhofer, J; Enkerli, J; Eilenberg, J; Meyling, NV; Moral, RD; Demetrio, CGB; Delalibera, I (2016) 'Persistence of Brazilian isolates of the entomopathogenic fungi Metarhizium anisopliae and M. robertsii in strawberry crop soil after soil drench application'. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 233 :361-369. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2016 Moral, RA; Azevedo, FCC; Verdade, LM (2016) 'The use of sheepdogs in sheep production in southeastern Brazil'. Pastoralism-Research Policy And Practice, 6 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2015 Beloti VH; Alves GR; Araújo DF; Picoli MM; Moral Rde A; Demétrio CG; Yamamoto PT; (2015) 'Lethal and Sublethal Effects of Insecticides Used on Citrus, on the Ectoparasitoid Tamarixia radiata'. PLoS ONE, 10 (7). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2015 Macedo, FCO; Dziubinska, H; Trebacz, K; Oliveira, RF; Moral, RA (2015) 'Action potentials in abscisic acid-deficient tomato mutant generated spontaneously and evoked by electrical stimulation'. Acta Physiologiae Plantarum, 37 . [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2014 Rodrigues, CA; Battel, APMB; Martinelli, NM; Moral, RD; Sercundes, RK; Godoy, WAC (2014) 'DYNAMICS AND PREDATION EFFICIENCY OF CHRYSOPERLA EXTERNA (NEUROPTERA: CHRYSOPIDAE) ON ENNEOTHRIPS FLAVENS (THYSANOPTERA: THRIPIDAE)'. Florida Entomologist, 97 :653-658. [Full-Text]
    2013 de Castro TR; Wekesa VW; Moral Rde A; Demétrio CG; Delalibera I; Klingen I; (2013) 'The effects of photoperiod and light intensity on the sporulation of Brazilian and Norwegian isolates of Neozygites floridana'. Journal of Invertebrate Pathology, 114 (3). [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2013 Ferreira, IED; Moral, RD; Ferreira, CP; Godoy, WAC (2013) 'Modelling fungus dispersal scenarios using cellular automata'. Ecological Informatics, 14 :53-58. [DOI] [Full-Text]
    2012 Battel APMB, Moral RA, Godoy WAC (2012) 'Modelos matemáticos predador-presa e aplicações ao manejo integrado de pragas'. Oecologia Australis, 16 :43-62. http://dx.doi.org/10.4257/oeco.2012.1601.05 [Full-Text]
    2023 Coelho, A.; Vieira, J.M.; Rugman-Jones, P.F.; Querino, R.B.; Moral, R.D.A.; Parra, J.R.P.; Stouthamer, R. (2023) 'Reproductive compatibility among sympatric and allopatric isofemale lines of Trichogramma pretiosum Riley, 1879'. Bulletin of Entomological Research, . [Link] [DOI]
    2023 de Godoy I.B.S.; McGrane-Corrigan B.; Mason O.; Moral R.d.A.; Godoy W.A.C. (2023) 'Plant-host shift, spatial persistence, and the viability of an invasive insect population'. Ecological Modelling, 475 . [DOI]
    2023 Calvey B.; Maguire R.; de Andrade Moral R.; McHugh Power J. (2023) 'Health asymmetry as a predictor of depressive symptomatology over time among older European adults: A growth curve analysis'. Journal of Psychosomatic Research, 166 . [DOI]
    2023 Urbanus, J.; Cosgrove, J.; Beltman, J.B.; Elhanati, Y.; Moral, R.A.; Conrad, C.; van Heijst, J.W.; Tubeuf, E.; Velds, A.; Kok, L.; Merle, C.; Magnusson, J.P.; Guyonnet, L.; Frisén, J.; Fre, S.; Walczak, A.M.; Mora, T.; Jacobs, H.; Schumacher, T.N.; Perié, L. (2023) 'DRAG in situ barcoding reveals an increased number of HSPCs contributing to myelopoiesis with age'. Nature Communications, 14 . [Link] [DOI]
    2022 Oliveira J.S.; Reigada C.; Diniz A.J.F.; Lara I.A.R.; Moral R.A.; Parra J.R.P. (2022) 'Can parasitism by Tamarixia radiata (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae) affect the movement and oviposition behavior of Diaphorina citri (Hemiptera: Psyllidae)?'. Journal of Insect Behavior, . [DOI]
    2022 Gheler-Costa C.; Sabino-Santos G.; Rosalino L.M.; Amorim L.S.; Maia F.G.M.; de Andrade Moral R.; Ferreira I.E.P.; Figueiredo L.T.M.; Piña C.I.; Verdade L.M. (2022) 'The influence of sugarcane pre-harvest fire on hantavirus prevalence in Neotropical small mammals'. Ecosphere, 13 (9). [DOI]
    2022 McDonnell J.; McKenna T.; Yurkonis K.A.; Hennessy D.; de Andrade Moral R.; Brophy C. (2022) 'A Mixed Model for Assessing the Effect of Numerous Plant Species Interactions on Grassland Biodiversity and Ecosystem Function Relationships'. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, . [DOI]
    2022 Moral R.A.; Chen Z.; Zhang S.; McClean S.; Palma G.R.; Allan B.; Kegel I. (2022) 'Profiling Television Watching Behaviour Using Bayesian Hierarchical Joint Models for Time-to-Event and Count Data'. Ieee Access, . [DOI]
    2022 Cucak M.; Harteveld D.O.C.; Wasko DeVetter L.; Peever T.L.; Moral R.d.A.; Mattupalli C. (2022) 'Development of a Decision Support System for the Management of Mummy Berry Disease in Northwestern Washington'. Plants, 11 (15). [DOI]
    2022 Mimnagh N.; Parnell A.; Prado E.; Moral R.d.A. (2022) 'Bayesian multi-species N-mixture models for unmarked animal communities'. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, . [DOI]

    Conference Publication

    Year Publication
    2021 Jones, L., Moral, R.A., Stephens J.C. (2021) World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology International Journal of Animal and Veterinary Sciences A Descriptive Study of the Mineral Content of Conserved Forage fed to Horses in the United Kingdom. Ireland and France
    2021 Hackett C.; Moral R.D.A.; Markham C. (2021) 2021 32nd Irish Signals and Systems Conference, ISSC 2021 Simulating Disease in Periods of Low Mobility Using a Hybrid Diffusion and Compartmental Model Built on Geographic Data [DOI]
    2020 Bueno, I., Moral, R.A., Godoy, W.A.C. (2020) Entomology 2020 Growth dynamics of symbiont fungus and caste structure in leaf-cutting ants (Hymenoptera: Formicidae: Atta)
    2020 Palma, G.R., Markham, C., Moral, R.A. (2020) 22nd Irish Machine Vision and Image Processing Conference Detecting predation interaction using pretrained CNNs
    2020 Brophy, C., Connolly, J., Moral, R.A. (2020) Annual Meeting of the British Ecological Society DImodels: A new R package for modelling the effects of species and their interactions in biodiversity and ecosystem function research
    2019 Moral, R.A., Mendes, M.S., Verdade, L.M. (2019) 34th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling Modelling evolutionary and ecological musical patterns in Neotropical perching birds
    2018 Fatoretto, M.B., Moral, R.A., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2018) 29th International Biometric Conference Statistical analysis of overdispersed fungus germination data
    2018 Lara, I.A.R., Moral, R.A., Taconeli, C.A., Kuhn, T.M.A., Lopes, J.R.S. (2018) 29th International Biometric Conference Transition models for grouped longitudinal categorical data applied to entomology
    2018 Moral, R.A., Hinde, J., Bonat, W., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2018) 38th Conference on Applied Statisics in Ireland Modelling bounded data in plant ecology
    2018 Moral, R.A., Bonat, W., Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B., Duarte, M.M (2018) 29th International Biometric Conference Conditional and marginal models for analysing light interception data
    2017 Thomas, G., Nakamura, L.R., Moral, R.A., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2017) 62nd Annual Meeting of the Brazilian Region of the IBS Modelling count data with excess of zeros and overdispersion using GAMLSS
    2017 Fatoretto, M.B., Moral, R.A., Demétrio, C.G.B., Rojas, V.A., Delalibera Jr., I. (2017) 62nd Annual Meeting of the Brazilian Region of the IBS Análise de resistência de isolados utilizando modelos lineares generalizados mistos
    2017 Moral, R.A., Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2017) 32nd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling Bivariate residual plots with simulation polygons
    2017 Moral, R.A., Demétrio, C.G.B., Hinde, J. (2017) 37th Conference on Applied Statisics in Ireland A diagnostic plot for bivariate models
    2016 Moral, R.A., Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B., Reigada, C. and Godoy, W.A.C. (2016) the 31st International Workshop on Statistical Modelling N-mixture models applied to zero-inflated insect abundance data
    2016 Moral, R.A., Demétrio, C.G.B. and Hinde, J. (2016) 9th International Conference of the ERCIM WG on Computational and Methodological Statistics Joint models for repeated counts of predators and prey
    2016 Moral, R.A., Hinde, J. and Demétrio, C.G.B. (2016) 36th Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Diagnostic checking for N-mixture models applied to mite abundance data
    2015 Oliveira, T.P., Moral, R.A., Hinde. J., Demétrio, C.G.B., Zocchi, S.S., Zanardo, A.B.R. and Delalibera Jr., I (2015) 30th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling Generalized linear mixed models applied to overdispersed proportion data in a fungal occurrence study
    2015 Moral, R.A., Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. and Ortega, E.M.M. (2015) 30th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling Assessing goodness-of-fit for accelerated failure rate models: An insect ecology case-study
    2015 Pádua, C.S., Fatoretto, M.B., Menarin, V., Moral, R.A., Demétrio, C.G.B. and Rojas, V.M.A. (2015) 60th World Statistics Congress Generalized linear mixed models: an application to fungi data
    2014 Moral, R.A., Alderete, M.C., Demétrio, C.G.B. and Orgeira, J (2014) the I Workshop on Experimental Statistics Zero-inflated models applied to Antarctic bird abundance data
    2014 Moral, R.A., Hinde, J. and Demétrio, C.G.B. (2014) 27th International Biometric Conference Half-normal plots and overdispersion in R
    2013 Moral, R.A., Godoy, W.A.C., Hinde, J. and Demétrio, C.G.B. (2013) 33rd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Modelling competition between overlapping niche predators
    2013 Moral, R.A., Godoy, W.A.C., Hinde, J. and Demétrio, C.G.B. (2013) 58th Annual Meeting of the Brazilian Region of the IBS Parasitism affects predator choice in agroecosystems
    2012 Godoy, W.A.C., Battel, A.P.M.B. and Moral, R.A. (2012) British Ecological Society Annual Meeting Interaction mathematical model and applications on integrated pest management
    2012 Silveira, T.A., Marchini, L.C., Ferreira, I.E.P., Moral, R.A. and Godoy, W.A.C. (2012) 8th International Conference on Ecological Informatics Pollen as environmental indicator: a foraging activity model for Apis mellifera based on multi-agents
    2012 Moral, R.A., Battel, A.P.M.B., Neves, J.A., Lopes, E.N. and Godoy, W.A.C. (2012) Models in Population Dynamics and Ecology 12 Dynamics of hosts and parasitoids with integrated pest management policy: theory and experimentation
    2011 Moral, R.A., Carrara, J.A., Godoy, W.A.C. and Ferreira, I.E.P. (2011) 1st International Conference on Spatial Ecology and Conservation Demography affects migration dynamics of blowflies
    2011 Ferreira, I.E.P., Moral, R.A. and Ferreira, C.P. (2011) 1st International Conference on Spatial Ecology and Conservation Modelling fungus dispersion scenarios using cellular automata
    2022 Lemos dos Santos, A.A., Parnell, A., Moral, R.A., Sarti, D. (2022) 42nd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Bayesian Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction with Time
    2022 McGrane-Corrigan, B., Mason, O., Moral, R.A. (2022) 42nd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Coupled Log-Linear Autoregression and Structured Population Dynamics
    2022 Jayakumari, D., Hinde, J., Moral, R.A. (2022) 42nd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland A New Goodness-of-Fit Diagnostic for Count Data Based on Half-Normal Plots
    2022 Lara, I.A.R., Moral, R.A., Taconeli, C.A., Reigada, C., Hinde, J. (2022) National Symposium of Probability and Statistics (SINAPE) Transition Models for Grouped Data Applied to Psyllid Movement
    2022 Vishwakarma, R., Byrne, L., Connolly, J., Moral, R.A., Brophy, C. (2022) 42nd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Estimation of Non-Linear Parameter in Generalised Diversity-Interactions Models Unaffected by Change in Structure of Interaction Terms
    2022 Byrne, L., Vishwakarma, R., Connolly, J., Moral, R.A., Brophy, C. (2022) 42nd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland A New R Package for the Fitting of Multivariate \& Repeated Measures Diversity-Interaction Models
    2022 Sarti, D.A., dos Santos, A.A., Moral, R.A., Parnell, A. (2022) Mendel Genetics Conference 2022 Computational Simulation of Genomics, Phenomics and Environmental Correlated Variables Using Machine Learning
    2022 Ferreira, I.E.P., Fabiano, D.A.B., Moral, R.A., Mimnagh, N. (2022) XLI Congresso Nacional de Matemática Aplicada e Computacional (CNMAC) Plataforma MAB para avaliar a performance de delineamentos amostrais em estudos de abundância
    2022 Palma, G.R., Aquino, A.C., Monticelli, P.F., Verdade, L.M., Markham, C., Moral, R.A. (2022) 42nd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland From Sound to Images: Bird Species Classification Using CNNs
    2022 Palma, G.R., Aquino, A., Monticelli, P., Verdade, L.M., Markham, C., Moral, R.A. (2022) 24th Irish Machine Vision and Image Processing Conference A machine vision system for avian song classification with CNN's
    2022 Mimnagh, N., Verdade, L., Ferreira, I.E.P., Moral, R.A. (2022) 42nd Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland A Triple Poisson Model for Estimating Animal Abundance from Trace Data

    Conference Contribution

    Year Publication
    2022 Young-ISA Committee (2022) Second Young-ISA Meeting One-day conference. Theme: Communication & Reproducibility in Statistics Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) Module on Mathematical Biology Statistical Ecology: A Very Brief Introduction Online, University of São Paulo, Brazil, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) II Workshop de Modelagem Matemática e Computacional Aplicada à Entomologia Statistical Modelling Applied to Entomology Online, University of São Paulo, Brazil, .
    2021 Maynooth Statistics Group (2021) 41st Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Annual conference of the Irish Statistical Association. 354 attendees Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) Module on Transversal Topics in Statistics Statistical Ecology: A Very Brief Introduction Online, Federal University of Paraná, Brazil, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) Virtual Ongoing Interdisciplinary Collaborations on Educating with Song Teaching Statistics Through Musical Parodies Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) WNAR Meeting Estimating Abundance from Animal Traces Online, Alaska, USA, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) Dell Data Science Week Image Analysis Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) Omega Talks Data Science Joint N-Mixture Models to Estimate Animal Abundance Onlne, organised by the Federal University of Paraná, Brazil, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) Maths Week 2021 Do Statisticians Have Superpowers? Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) 2nd Operational Research Week, Casa da Pesquisa Operacional Global Short-Term Forecasting of COVID-19 Cases Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) XXIX Congresso de Matemática Capricornio Estimating Animal Abundance when Data is Scarce Onlnie, Chile, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) 65th meeting of the Brazilian Region of the IBS Estimating Animal Abundance when Data is Scarce Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) I Encontro Internacional em Psicometria e Avaliação Neuropsicológica Teaching Statistics Through Music Online, PUC Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) MathsFest 2021 Teaching Statistics with Music (and Other Strategies) Online, .
    2021 Moral, R.A. (2021) Statistics Thematic Week Global Short-Term Forecasting of COVID-19 Cases Online, organised by Federal University of Bahia, Brazil, .
    2020 Moral, R.A. (2020) Module on Mathematical Biology Statistical Ecology: A Very Brief Introduction Online, University of São Paulo, Brazil, .
    2020 Moral, R.A. (2020) VII Mathematics Week Topics in Data Science Online, Federal University of Acre, Brazil, .
    2020 Moral, R.A. (2020) PET Invites Global Short-Term Forecasting of COVID-19 Cases and Teaching Statistics through Music Online, organised by Federal University of Paraná, Brazil, .
    2019 Moral, R.A. (2019) XVI School of Regression Models Mixed and marginal models for analysing light interception data Pirenópolis, Brazil, .
    2019 Young-ISA Committee (2019) Inaugural Young-ISA Meeting One-day conference, theme: Statistics in Academia vs Industry Maynooth, Ireland, .
    2019 Moral, R.A., Prado, E.B., Brophy, C. (2019) 1st Workshop on Ecological Data Analysis One-day workshop Maynooth, Ireland, .
    2019 Moral, R.A. (2019) 2nd Young Statisticians Europe Meeting How do birds compose their music? Modelling ecological and evolutionary patterns in bird song data Bucharest, Romania, .
    2018 Moral, R.A. (2018) R Meetup Warsaw Diagnostic plots for univariate and bivariate models (and joint models in Ecology) Warsaw, Poland, .
    2018 Moral, R.A., Bonat,W.H., Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B., Duarte, M. (2018) 29th International Biometric Confrence Conditional and marginal models for analysing light interception data Barcelona, Spain, .
    2018 Moral, R.A., Hinde, J., Bonat, W., Demétrio C.G.B. (2018) 38th Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Modelling bounded data in plant ecology Galway, Ireland, .
    2017 Moral, R.A. (2017) 62nd meeting of the Brazilian Region of the IBS Models for jointly estimating abundances of two unmarked site-associated species Lavras, Brazil, .
    2017 Moral, R.A, Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2017) 37th Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland A diagnostic plot for bivariate models Mullingar, Ireland, .
    2016 Moral, R.A, Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2016) 36th Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland Diagnostic checking for N-mixture models applied to mite abundance data Limerick, Ireland, .
    2016 Moral, R.A. (2016) 9th International Conference of the ERCIM WG on Computational and Methodological Statistics Joint models for repeated counts of predators and prey Seville, Spain, .
    2016 Moral, R.A, Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2016) 31st International Workshop on Statistical Modelling N-mixture models applied to zero-inflated insect abundance data Rennes, France, .
    2015 Moral, R.A, Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2015) 30th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling Assessing goodness-of-fit for accelerated failure rate models: An insect ecology case-study Linz, Austria, .
    2014 Moral, R.A, Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2014) I Workshop on Experimental Statistics hnp: Half-normal plotting in R Piracicaba, Brazil, .
    2014 Moral, R.A, Hinde, J., Demétrio, C.G.B. (2014) 27th International Biometric Conference Half-normal plots and overdispersion in R Florence, Italy, .
    2023 Moral, R.A. (2023) BTIIC Workshop Profiling Television Watching Behaviour Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models Ulster University, Belfast, .
    2023 Moral, R.A. (2023) Hamilton Research Day Profiling Television Watching Behaviour Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models Maynooth University, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) Advanced Summer Camp, Maynooth University What Is Data Science? Maynooth University, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) VOICES Conference 2022: Virtual Ongoing Interdisciplinary Collaborations on Educating with Song Making High Quality Music Recordings in the Cheap Online, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) NIBIO Seminar Data from Biocontrol Studies Online, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) Seminar Series of the State University of Londrina, Brazil Estimating Animal Abundance in Three Difficulty Levels Online, State University of São Paulo, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) Omega Talks Data Science Is Facebook Listening to Me? The data scientist’s role in privacy and anonymisation Online, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) 3rd Conference on Statistical Models - Count & Semi-Continuous A Triple Poisson Model for Estimating Animal Abundance Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté, France, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) Seminar Series of the State University of Londrina, Brazil Is Facebook Listening to Me? The data scientist’s role in privacy and anonymisation Online, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) Seminar Series Profiling Television Watching Behaviour Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models University of São Paulo, Online, .
    2022 Moral, R.A. (2022) Third Young-ISA Meeting Theme: Collaborative Workflow in Data Science and Statistics University of Limerick, .

    Computer Program

    Year Publication
    2019 Moral, R.A. and Fealy, R. (2019) phenModel. [Computer Program] [Link]

    Magazine Article

    Year Publication
    2021 Cucak, M; Moral, RD; Esker, P; Lambkin, K; Fealy, R; Kildea, S (2021) Opportunities for an improved potato late blight management in the Republic of Ireland. ST PAUL: [Magazine Article]
    2020 Cucak, M; Kildea, S; Moral, RD; Esker, P; Fealy, R (2020) Revision of Potato late blight forecasting in the Republic of Ireland. ST PAUL: [Magazine Article]

    Reviews

    Year Publication
    2021 Rowan N.J.; Moral R.A. (2021) Disposable face masks and reusable face coverings as non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to prevent transmission of SARS-CoV-2 variants that cause coronavirus disease (COVID-19): Role of new sustainable NPI design innovations and predictive mathematical modelling. [Reviews] [DOI] [Full-Text]
    Certain data included herein are derived from the © Web of Science (2023) of Clarivate. All rights reserved.

    Professional Associations

    Description Function From / To
    International Biometric Society Member -
    Statistical Modelling Society Member -
    Irish Statistical Association Member -

    Honors and Awards

    Date Title Awarding Body
    01/07/2018 Young Statistician Showcase Prize International Biometric Society
    01/07/2021 A-mu-sing competition 1st place Consortium for the Advancement of Undergraduate Statistics Education
    01/01/2021 Teaching Hero Award National Forum for the Enhancement of Teaching and Learning in Higher Education
    01/07/2016 Best Student Oral Presentation Statistical Modelling Society
    01/01/2012 Best Academic Average University of São Paulo
    01/10/2022 Maths Week Award Maths Week Ireland

    Committees

    Committee Function From / To
    Young ISA Vice-chair 01/05/2019 - 31/05/2021
    R Journal Associate Editor 01/08/2020 -
    Young-ISA Chair 01/06/2021 -
    BIR-IBS Executive Committee Ordinary Member 01/01/2020 - 31/12/2023
    Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics Associate Editor 01/08/2021 -

    Employment

    Employer Position From / To
    Maynooth University Lecturer/Assistant Professor of Statistics 22/01/2018 - 30/06/2023
    Maynooth University Associate Professor of Statistics 01/07/2023 -

    Education

    Start date Institution Qualification Subject
    University of São Paulo Doctor of Philosophy Statistics
    University of São Paulo Master of Science Statistics
    University of São Paulo Bachelor of Education Biology
    University of São Paulo Bachelor of Science Biology

    Languages

    Language Reading Writing Speaking
    English Fluent Fluent Fluent
    German Basic Basic Basic
    Spanish Functional Basic Functional
    Portuguese Fluent Fluent Fluent

    Consultancy

    Client Description
    Evonik / Jomakol Analysis of experiments for commercial release of genetically modified organisms

    Editorial / Academic Reviews

    Amount Role From / To
    Neotropical Entomology Reviewer 11/06/2013 -
    Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics Reviewer 18/09/2018 -
    Pest Management Science Reviewer 11/09/2018 -
    Computational Statistics and Data Analysis Reviewer 10/03/2018 -

    Teaching Interests

    Currently teaching
    • Introduction to Statistics (ST221)
    • Statistical Methods for Data Science (DS665)
    • Time Series (ST306)
    • Topics in Data Analytics (ST662/DS406)
    Taught in the past
    • Introduction to Statistics (ST122)
    • Statistical Computing with R (ST366)
    • Probability (ST461)
    • Introduction to Data Science II (DS152)
    • R for Statistics and Data Science (ST203)

    Current Students

    Student Name Degree Supervision
    BLAKE AYRTON MC GRANE-CORRIGAN PHDA